{"id":7687,"date":"2025-12-13T11:20:50","date_gmt":"2025-12-13T07:50:50","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/steelworldreview.com\/the-steel-market-outlook-on-the-verge-of-change\/"},"modified":"2026-02-14T13:48:00","modified_gmt":"2026-02-14T10:18:00","slug":"the-steel-market-outlook-on-the-verge-of-change","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/steelworldreview.com\/en\/the-steel-market-outlook-on-the-verge-of-change\/","title":{"rendered":"The steel market outlook on the verge of change"},"content":{"rendered":"

The steel market outlook on the verge of change<\/strong><\/p>\n

A look at the impact of China\u2019s overproduction, the shift toward green steel, and Iran\u2019s situation<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u00a0The importance of steel: construction, infrastructure, and the backbone of the economy<\/p>\n

Steel is a metal that plays a role in nearly all infrastructure, construction, industrial, and civil engineering sectors from roads and bridges to buildings, metro lines, and factories.<\/p>\n

For this reason, global steel demand is highly dependent on construction trends, infrastructure development, and the overall health of national economies.<\/p>\n

\u00a0China\u2019s overproduction and its global impact<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u2022 According to official reports, global excess steelmaking capacity in 2025 could exceed 680 million tonnes.<\/p>\n

\u2022 Despite a decline in domestic steel demand in China, production has remained substantial; as a result, Chinese steel exports to international markets have surged. For example, China\u2019s steel exports in the first eleven months of 2025 reached approximately 107.7 million tonnes.<\/p>\n

\u2022 This overproduction and massive export volume effectively place heavy downward pressure on global steel prices, intensify competition, and put exporters from other countries in a challenging position.<\/p>\n

\u2022 Therefore, when the global steel market is under pressure from supply exceeding demand, a period of price stabilization or even price declines begins a factor that can affect the profitability of steel producers in different countries.<\/p>\n

\u00a0\u201cGreen\u201d steel and environmental pressure \u2014 an inevitable shift<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u2022 According to the World Steel Association<\/a>, crude steel production emitted approximately 1.92 tonnes of CO\u2082 per tonne of steel produced in 2023.<\/p>\n

\u2022 Given steel\u2019s significant contribution to global carbon emissions, moving toward lower-emission steel production \u2014 \u201cgreen steel\u201d \u2014 has become one of the industry\u2019s key priorities.<\/p>\n

\u2022 This policy shift \u2014 particularly in advanced economies and regions with strict environmental regulations \u2014 is increasing demand for low-carbon, environmentally compliant steel, creating opportunities for producers that are ready to invest and innovate.<\/p>\n

\u2022 Therefore, over the coming decade, the combination of price competition driven by oversupply, environmental pressure, and rising demand for green steel could reshape the steel market, potentially sidelining \u201cdirty\u201d steel produced using traditional methods.<\/p>\n

\u00a0A complex situation for Iran<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u2022 At a time when the global steel market is under pressure, countries such as Iran \u2014 which face challenges including currency volatility, energy crises, and raw material supply constraints \u2014 are in an even more difficult position. Adapting to green steel standards while also competing with low-priced export steel requires careful policymaking and significant investment.<\/p>\n

\u2022 If Iran is able to move toward low-carbon steel production, it may be able to benefit from the opportunity created by growing demand for green steel; otherwise, there is a risk of losing share in global or even domestic markets.<\/p>\n

\u2022 Additionally, given the lack of stability in the global steel market, decision-making in domestic construction and civil engineering projects also faces challenges \u2014 meaning higher costs and greater risk.<\/p>\n

\u00a0Why is the future of steel full of ups and downs?<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u2022 Steel remains the backbone of the construction and infrastructure economy worldwide; therefore, the state of the macroeconomy and construction projects is a key determinant.<\/p>\n

\u2022 China\u2019s overproduction and extensive exports have put pressure on prices and competition \u2014 meaning cheaper steel for buyers, but serious challenges for producers.<\/p>\n

\u2022 Environmental pressure and the shift toward low-carbon steel are pushing the market toward innovation and change; producers must adapt to this trajectory.<\/p>\n

\u2022 For Iran, there is both opportunity (green steel) and threat (competition, volatility, and uncertainty); policy and planning are crucial.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

The steel market outlook on the verge of change A look at the impact of China\u2019s overproduction, the shift toward green steel, and Iran\u2019s situation \u00a0The importance of steel: construction, infrastructure, and the backbone of the economy Steel is a metal that plays a role in nearly all infrastructure, construction, industrial, and civil engineering sectors […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":20,"featured_media":7685,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"jnews-multi-image_gallery":[],"jnews_single_post":{"format":"standard"},"jnews_primary_category":[],"jnews_review":[],"enable_review":"","type":"","name":"","summary":"","brand":"","sku":"","good":[],"bad":[],"score_override":"","override_value":"","rating":[],"price":[],"jnews_override_counter":[],"footnotes":""},"categories":[240],"tags":[393,389,757],"class_list":["post-7687","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-world_steel_news","tag-steel","tag-steel-world-review","tag---en"],"yoast_head":"\nThe steel market outlook on the verge of change - steelworldreview<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"The steel market outlook is on the verge of change; 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